Pension Lump Sum vs Annuity

NPV showdown with COLA, joint-and-survivor, and break-even age

Pension Offer

Offer Terms
0 if pension is fixed-dollar; 2-3% common for COLA-indexed plans
Your Profile
SSA average age-65 life expectancy is ~83 (M) / ~86 (F)
Your assumed after-tax return on the invested lump sum
Joint & Survivor (optional)
Fraction of primary benefit continuing to survivor
% reduction in primary benefit for the joint election (typical 5-15%)

Recommendation

Lump Sum (NPV)

Already in present value

Annuity (NPV)

Discounted lifetime payments

Break-Even Age

Cumulative annuity equals lump (nominal)

Total Annuity (Nominal)

Sum of all payments through horizon

Lump Sum at Horizon

Lump grown at the discount rate

Cumulative Value by Age

Year-by-Year Schedule

Year-by-year pension annuity payment schedule alongside the lump-sum investable trajectory
Age Annual Annuity Cumulative Annuity (nominal) Lump Sum Invested @ Discount Rate

Note: NPV ignores risk and inflation differences between the two options. The annuity hedges longevity risk (you can't outlive it). The lump sum offers control, inheritability, and is investable in your asset mix. PBGC insures most private pensions up to a limit; verify your plan's status.